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2026 NFL · Week 8

NFL Week 8 Betting Preview: Lines, Matchup Trends and TD Props

14 games on the Week 8 slate. The biggest favorite is CIN -13.5 (TEN at CIN). The highest total is 55.5 in BAL at BUF. For every game: the consensus spread and total, how each offense matches up with the defense it faces (the same numbers as Livdy Defense Rankings), and the three shortest anytime touchdown prices.

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Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers

Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET · Lambeau Field · Final: CAR 19, GB 27

Team trends: Carolina Panthers · Green Bay Packers

SpreadGB -3.5
Total47

CAR offense vs GB defense Even

  • GB allows 15% more red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (good for CAR).
  • GB allows 13% fewer explosive pass plays than an average defense (tough for CAR).

Projected: 260 passing and 109 rushing yards. GB allows 20.7 points per game (#11 in the NFL).

GB offense vs CAR defense Even

  • CAR allows 37% more rushing yards than an average defense (good for GB).
  • CAR allows 29% more red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (good for GB).

Projected: 238 passing and 82 rushing yards. CAR allows 27.7 points per game (#27 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Josh Jacobs (GB, RB) -150
  2. Chuba Hubbard (CAR, RB) -113
  3. Christian Watson (GB, WR) +135

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Ford Field · Final: MIN 15, DET 19

Team trends: Minnesota Vikings · Detroit Lions

SpreadDET -3.5opened DET -3
Total46.5

MIN offense vs DET defense Even

  • DET allows 32% more passing yards than an average defense (good for MIN).
  • DET allows 21% more red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (good for MIN).

Projected: 214 passing and 106 rushing yards. DET allows 27.5 points per game (#26 in the NFL).

DET offense vs MIN defense Favors defense

  • MIN gets 68% more sacks than an average defense (tough for DET).
  • MIN allows 61% fewer red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (tough for DET).

Projected: 198 passing and 101 rushing yards. MIN allows 12.3 points per game (#1 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Jahmyr Gibbs (DET, RB) -250
  2. Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET, WR) +113
  3. Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR) +170

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Acrisure Stadium · Final: CLE 6, PIT 27

Team trends: Cleveland Browns · Pittsburgh Steelers

SpreadPIT -3.5opened PIT -4
Total39

CLE offense vs PIT defense Favors defense

  • PIT allows 22% fewer red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (tough for CLE).
  • PIT allows 21% fewer explosive pass plays than an average defense (tough for CLE).

Projected: 186 passing and 87 rushing yards. PIT allows 19.7 points per game (#5 in the NFL).

PIT offense vs CLE defense Favors defense

  • CLE allows 24% fewer red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (tough for PIT).
  • CLE gets 24% more sacks than an average defense (tough for PIT).

Projected: 199 passing and 111 rushing yards. CLE allows 20.9 points per game (#12 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Jaylen Warren (PIT, RB) +110
  2. Quinshon Judkins (CLE, RB) +135
  3. DK Metcalf (PIT, WR) +190

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · MetLife Stadium · Final: LV 38, NYJ 33

Team trends: Las Vegas Raiders · New York Jets

SpreadNYJ -1.5
Total46.5

LV offense vs NYJ defense Favors defense

  • NYJ gets 30% more sacks than an average defense (tough for LV).
  • NYJ allows 18% fewer explosive pass plays than an average defense (tough for LV).

Projected: 229 passing and 86 rushing yards. NYJ allows 21.4 points per game (#13 in the NFL).

NYJ offense vs LV defense Favors offense

  • LV allows 32% more red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (good for NYJ).
  • LV allows 29% more rushing yards than an average defense (good for NYJ).

Projected: 215 passing and 124 rushing yards. LV allows 28.1 points per game (#29 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Braelon Allen (NYJ, RB) -129
  2. Ashton Jeanty (LV, RB) -105
  3. Brock Bowers (LV, TE) +112

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Raymond James Stadium · Final: ATL 0, TB 16

Team trends: Atlanta Falcons · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

SpreadTB -2.5opened TB -1.5
Total42.5

ATL offense vs TB defense Favors defense

  • TB allows 31% fewer rushing yards than an average defense (tough for ATL).
  • TB allows 11% fewer red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (tough for ATL).

Projected: 194 passing and 97 rushing yards. TB allows 21.6 points per game (#14 in the NFL).

TB offense vs ATL defense Favors offense

  • ATL allows 20% fewer rushing yards than an average defense (tough for TB).
  • ATL allows 16% more passing yards than an average defense (good for TB).

Projected: 174 passing and 117 rushing yards. ATL allows 24.7 points per game (#20 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB) -190
  2. Bucky Irving (TB, RB) +100
  3. Drake London (ATL, WR) +155

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · EverBank Stadium · Final: IND 7, JAX 42

Team trends: Indianapolis Colts · Jacksonville Jaguars

SpreadJAX -10opened JAX -7.5
Total45.5

IND offense vs JAX defense Even

  • JAX allows 35% fewer rushing yards than an average defense (tough for IND).
  • JAX allows 33% fewer red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (tough for IND).

Projected: 224 passing and 76 rushing yards. JAX allows 17.3 points per game (#3 in the NFL).

JAX offense vs IND defense Favors offense

  • IND allows 12% more rushing yards than an average defense (good for JAX).
  • IND gets 9% fewer sacks than an average defense (good for JAX).

Projected: 229 passing and 126 rushing yards. IND allows 25.7 points per game (#23 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Bhayshul Tuten (JAX, RB) -105
  2. Parker Washington (JAX, WR) +105
  3. Jonathan Taylor (IND, RB) +115

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · AT&T Stadium · Final: ARI 33, DAL 30

Team trends: Arizona Cardinals · Dallas Cowboys

SpreadDAL -7.5opened DAL -6.5
Total54.5

ARI offense vs DAL defense Favors offense

  • DAL allows 31% more rushing yards than an average defense (good for ARI).
  • DAL gets 30% fewer sacks than an average defense (good for ARI).

Projected: 225 passing and 125 rushing yards. DAL allows 25.7 points per game (#23 in the NFL).

DAL offense vs ARI defense Favors offense

  • ARI allows 21% more explosive pass plays than an average defense (good for DAL).
  • ARI allows 17% more red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (good for DAL).

Projected: 268 passing and 107 rushing yards. ARI allows 29.7 points per game (#32 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Javonte Williams (DAL, RB) -245
  2. CeeDee Lamb (DAL, WR) -150
  3. George Pickens (DAL, WR) -105

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Highmark Stadium · Final: BAL 10, BUF 36

Team trends: Baltimore Ravens · Buffalo Bills

SpreadBUF -3
Total55.5

BAL offense vs BUF defense Favors offense

  • BUF gets 31% fewer sacks than an average defense (good for BAL).
  • BUF allows 29% more passing yards than an average defense (good for BAL).

Projected: 291 passing and 128 rushing yards. BUF allows 28.5 points per game (#30 in the NFL).

BUF offense vs BAL defense Even

  • BAL allows 13% fewer rushing yards than an average defense (tough for BUF).
  • BAL allows 12% more red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (good for BUF).

Projected: 239 passing and 129 rushing yards. BAL allows 23.9 points per game (#18 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Derrick Henry (BAL, RB) -210
  2. Josh Allen (BUF, QB) -170
  3. James Cook (BUF, RB) -160

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals

Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET · Paycor Stadium · Final: TEN 36, CIN 43

Team trends: Tennessee Titans · Cincinnati Bengals

SpreadCIN -13.5opened CIN -10.5
Total46.5

TEN offense vs CIN defense Even

  • CIN gets 50% more sacks than an average defense (tough for TEN).
  • CIN allows 41% fewer red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (tough for TEN).

Projected: 164 passing and 95 rushing yards. CIN allows 20.3 points per game (#8 in the NFL).

CIN offense vs TEN defense Even

  • TEN allows 19% more explosive pass plays than an average defense (good for CIN).
  • TEN allows 18% more rushing yards than an average defense (good for CIN).

Projected: 278 passing and 95 rushing yards. TEN allows 22.3 points per game (#15 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Chase Brown (CIN, RB) -155
  2. Ja'Marr Chase (CIN, WR) -125
  3. Tee Higgins (CIN, WR) +100

Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams

Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET · SoFi Stadium · Final: LAC 9, LAR 24

Team trends: Los Angeles Chargers · Los Angeles Rams

SpreadLAR -6.5opened LAR -7.5
Total46

LAC offense vs LAR defense Favors defense

  • LAR gets 33% fewer sacks than an average defense (good for LAC).
  • LAR allows 25% fewer red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (tough for LAC).

Projected: 142 passing and 123 rushing yards. LAR allows 22.7 points per game (#16 in the NFL).

LAR offense vs LAC defense Even

  • LAC allows 19% fewer red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (tough for LAR).
  • LAC allows 11% more rushing yards than an average defense (good for LAR).

Projected: 256 passing and 139 rushing yards. LAC allows 25.2 points per game (#22 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Kyren Williams (LAR, RB) -139
  2. Puka Nacua (LAR, WR) -130
  3. Blake Corum (LAR, RB) +160

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · Empower Field at Mile High · Final: KC 24, DEN 28

Team trends: Kansas City Chiefs · Denver Broncos

SpreadKC -1opened KC -1.5
Total41.5

KC offense vs DEN defense Favors defense

  • DEN allows 23% fewer red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (tough for KC).
  • DEN allows 19% more rushing yards than an average defense (good for KC).

Projected: 233 passing and 169 rushing yards. DEN allows 20.1 points per game (#7 in the NFL).

DEN offense vs KC defense Favors defense

  • KC allows 55% fewer red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (tough for DEN).
  • KC gets 42% fewer sacks than an average defense (good for DEN).

Projected: 177 passing and 85 rushing yards. KC allows 17.2 points per game (#2 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Kenneth Walker III (KC, RB) -135
  2. Jonah Coleman (DEN, RB) +180
  3. J.K. Dobbins (DEN, RB) +200

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium · Final: NE 24, MIA 19

Team trends: New England Patriots · Miami Dolphins

SpreadNE -7opened NE -7.5
Total41.5

NE offense vs MIA defense Favors offense

  • MIA gets 47% fewer sacks than an average defense (good for NE).
  • MIA allows 10% more red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (good for NE).

Projected: 261 passing and 120 rushing yards. MIA allows 26.2 points per game (#25 in the NFL).

MIA offense vs NE defense Favors defense

  • NE allows 15% fewer rushing yards than an average defense (tough for MIA).
  • NE gets 12% more sacks than an average defense (tough for MIA).

Projected: 162 passing and 112 rushing yards. NE allows 20.4 points per game (#9 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Rhamondre Stevenson (NE, RB) -125
  2. Ollie Gordon II (MIA, RB) +155
  3. Hunter Henry (NE, TE) +175

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders

Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET · Northwest Stadium · Final: PHI 10, WSH 27

Team trends: Philadelphia Eagles · Washington Commanders

SpreadWSH -5.5opened WSH -4
Total40.5

PHI offense vs WSH defense Favors offense

  • WSH allows 38% more red-zone touchdowns than an average defense (good for PHI).
  • WSH gets 24% fewer sacks than an average defense (good for PHI).

Projected: 204 passing and 79 rushing yards. WSH allows 28.7 points per game (#31 in the NFL).

WSH offense vs PHI defense Favors offense

  • PHI gets 50% fewer sacks than an average defense (good for WSH).
  • PHI allows 19% more explosive pass plays than an average defense (good for WSH).

Projected: 217 passing and 147 rushing yards. PHI allows 25.0 points per game (#21 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Rachaad White (WSH, RB) +125
  2. Saquon Barkley (PHI, RB) +150
  3. Stefon Diggs (WSH, WR) +190

Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks

Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET · Lumen Field · Final: CHI 34, SEA 17

Team trends: Chicago Bears · Seattle Seahawks

SpreadSEA -3.5opened SEA -3
Total46.5

CHI offense vs SEA defense Favors defense

  • SEA allows 45% fewer explosive pass plays than an average defense (tough for CHI).
  • SEA allows 35% fewer passing yards than an average defense (tough for CHI).

Projected: 155 passing and 124 rushing yards. SEA allows 17.9 points per game (#4 in the NFL).

SEA offense vs CHI defense Even

  • CHI gets 42% more sacks than an average defense (tough for SEA).
  • CHI allows 28% more explosive pass plays than an average defense (good for SEA).

Projected: 235 passing and 89 rushing yards. CHI allows 20.4 points per game (#9 in the NFL).

Shortest anytime TD prices

  1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA, WR) -115
  2. D'Andre Swift (CHI, RB) +100
  3. Zach Charbonnet (SEA, RB) +130

How to read this: each lean compares what the defense allows per game with the league average, and the projections combine the offense’s own average with that (32 teams, games before Week 8 plus any Week 8 games already finished). A stat leans when the defense is 8% or more away from average; “Favors offense” means at least two more stats lean the offense’s way than the defense’s. Lines are the consensus across major US sportsbooks and update through the week; TD prices are the median across books. This page is research, not betting advice.

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